How comfident do you think one should be that their crush doesn't like them back so that it's better not to confess ?
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Trades based on sentiment and never resolves.

Basically, if you think it's a good idea to confess to your crush when you're [Market probability] comfident they don't like you back, you should bet YES and if you think it's a bad idea to confess to your crush when you're [Market probability] comfident they don't like you back, you should bet NO.

Did I just blow M1000 for that question ?
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The question sort of implies making it a big deal with a lot of emotional weight, which you generally should not do. But you should propose an activity and/or indicate your interest in a lightweight way that invites them to reciprocate without putting so much pressure on.

Might be preferable to do a poll asking for credences next time so people aren't put off by lack of resolution criteria

@TheAllMemeingEye Yeah makes sense

I thought about a poll right after creating this market when I could still N/A it, but I forgot that some users are reluctant to trade on markets that never resolve

The problem with a poll though, is I don’t know how to discretise. Like if everyone has answers between 10% and 90%, it’s okay to divide [0,1] uniformly in 10 intervals. But comments like @BrunoParga‘s make me wanna get a higher resolution at the extremes

@Mich how about linear intervals for 10-90 and logarithmic intervals for <10 and >90? E.g. ...70, 80, 90, 99, 99.9 etc

It's never preferable not to tell them.

@BrunoParga Then I guess you should bet this market up no matter what ?

@Mich

Trades based on sentiment and never resolves.

Bump because if I'm stupidly throwing out my Mana, we shall as well get a good laugh along the way !

@Mich What's one dollar anyway

@GazDownright Yeah right. The thing is I don't buy Mana, so chances are that if I go bankrupt, I just go bankrupt haha.

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