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Will there be there be a resurgence of influenza in Virginia to "High" or "Very High" level during the summer of 2023?
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Ṁ90Ṁ40
resolved Jul 8
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N/A

From https://metaculus.com/questions/15664/summer-flu-season-peak-for-virginia/

So far, the 2022-2023 flu season both in Virginia and in the U.S. generally has been characterized by an unusually early peak in flu activity. For the past several weeks, flu activity has been declining in Virginia and the U.S. generally.

However, given the early peak in flu cases this season, there is concern about the possibility of a second later peak — either because protection conferred by vaccination/previous infection may have have waned, because of the arising of a different flu strain, or both. This kind of bimodal flu activity has some precedent — though usually not in the summer.

Historical data on Virginia's ILI activity level can be accessed using the slider under "Outpatient Respiratory Illness Activity Map" on this CDC page. The last time Virginia's ILI activity level was "High" or "Very High" was for the week ending January 7, 2023.

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@MetaculusBot The linked Metaculus market is about Covid-19, and specifically excludes influenza. Kinda weird given the url slug.

@kenakofer Agreed. I wonder if the Metaculus question was rewritten/repurposed. I’ll N/A this market to avoid confusion. Thanks!

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@MetaculusBot Reminder to N/A this market.