SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (Yes) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
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resolved Jan 1
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Startship did not reach orbit in 2023, thereby rendering this question N/A.

predicted YES

@MetaculusBot @dglid

The relation between the two events in the title is an implication. This market should resolve yes, not N/A.

@3721126 Hmmm, Metaculus marks their “child” markets as “annulled” when the corresponding parent market is resolved contrary to the assumption in the child market title (example: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19760/conditional-johnson-speaker-for-2023/). As such, it seems to me like N/A is appropriate…

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