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Congratulations to all NO holders. Interesting few months ahead for bitcoin 🤔

resolves no!

cc @MerleBtc

@MerleBtc

The results will be available 24 hours after closing to resolve.

Ah alright, I'd missed that part. Carry on.

to be crystal clear - i’m offering to buy yes at a loss! this market closes in 11 hours (midnight chatham islands time) and bitcoin is at $92.5k. this market should be priced at 0-1%.

if you want 3% EV that resolves 11 hours feel free to buy no!

Seasonality is typically a move higher at the start of Dec, a trough mid month, then a move higher again at the end of the month. But it could just as easily be a move higher early Jan instead 🤔

Which timezone? UTC?

@JasonDavies [UTC +13:45] Chatham Islands

lol. lmao even.

Usually the default is to stick by the close time if it wasn't otherwise mentioned. the fact that you set +13:45 when you're 3rd highest YES holder is hilarious

@Bayesian lol I'm starting to think you have too much free time

@MerleBtc it's finally christmas break bro 😭 but could you revert it back to UTC or UTC+1

@Bayesian why are you asking for more time, which benefits YES holders? EoY UTC+13:45 happens earlier, not later. 🤦‍♂️

I formally request a change back to originally stated as my bets were based on that creator-given info.

@deagol hahahaha I had not realized

@deagol what was the originally stated time?

@Bayesian I'm referring to the stated Chatham Islands Daylight Time timezone (UTC+13:45) first given in this comment (now edited) when asked by @JasonDavies in this same thread, not the market close time (which not always determines the resolution deadline).

@deagol lmaoo

@Bayesian I took the creator's choice of the earliest* possible time as a way to signal strong confidence in their YES bet. 🤷‍♂️

*[Edit: sorry not the earliest possible, that would be UTC+14 currently observed by the Line Islands of Kiribati (i.e. Christmas Island and a couple other atolls).]

@deagol I thought he was just living in NZ and it was his local tz 😂

@Bayesian @Choms @deagol The final time zone will be [UTC +13:45] Chatham Islands :

what a great idea merle!

@MerleBtc thanks! 👍 how you say Happy New Year in NZ? ah I found this for Maori: tau hou hari, or nga mihi o te tau hou

@deagol @MerleBtc @Bayesian Happy New Year