Will Calin Georgescu be allowed to run for president?
8
100Ṁ270
Dec 31
73%
chance

Background Călin Georgescu is a Romanian politician whose potential candidacy in Romania's upcoming presidential elections faces several challenges. His initial challenge to the Constitutional Court's decision to annul the November 2024 presidential election was rejected by an appeals court. The Trump administration has reportedly been pressuring Romanian authorities to allow his candidacy, while there are concerns about Russian influence in his campaign. Additionally, his campaign is under investigation due to reported zero expenditures.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Călin Georgescu is officially registered and approved as a candidate for the Romanian presidential election by the electoral authorities. The market will resolve NO if:

  • His candidacy is rejected by electoral authorities

  • He is legally barred from running

  • He withdraws his candidacy

  • He fails to meet registration requirements

If the presidential election is cancelled or indefinitely postponed before a decision on his candidacy is made, the market will resolve NO.

Considerations

  • The electoral office and courts are still assessing various aspects of Georgescu's eligibility

  • The coalition candidate, Crin Antonescu, has publicly supported allowing Georgescu to run

  • International political pressure could influence the final decision

  • The ongoing investigation into campaign finances could impact his eligibility

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