Total number of countries Clade I monkeypox discovered in by the end of this year?

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Ṁ3209

Dec 31

23%

25 or less

26%

26-50

13%

51-75

23%

76-100

15%

101 or more

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/15/mpox-variant-clade-i-case-sweden

It seems that so far the Clade I mpox, a new more dangerous type of mpox, has been discovered in ~10 African countries, and, more recently, in Sweden and now also seemingly in Pakistan. What the total number of countries affected will be by the end of this year?

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bought Ṁ50 YES

for very rough comparison: Covid was 188 countries (and territories) in 6 months…

I might be wrong, but from here I got that the previous Mpox epidemic affected 122 countries in total, and that’s in, like, a year? Though I gotta say I thought about making the answers increment a bit bigger, and, well, especially considering what they say about the increased infectiousness of this new mpox type, probably should have made things a bit different, now thinking about it…

yeah that looks right, this market will be fine once the people betting no on this market see it lol. I might just be too paranoid about it but seems like it’s gonna be pretty bad sadly.

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