Total number of countries Clade I monkeypox discovered in by the end of this year?

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Ṁ2861

Dec 31

14%

25 or less

23%

26-50

12%

51-75

29%

76-100

22%

101 or more

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/15/mpox-variant-clade-i-case-sweden

It seems that so far the Clade I mpox, a new more dangerous type of mpox, has been discovered in ~10 African countries, and, more recently, in Sweden and now also seemingly in Pakistan. What the total number of countries affected will be by the end of this year?

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ50 101 or more YES

for very rough comparison: Covid was 188 countries (and territories) in 6 months…

I might be wrong, but from here I got that the previous Mpox epidemic affected 122 countries in total, and that’s in, like, a year? Though I gotta say I thought about making the answers increment a bit bigger, and, well, especially considering what they say about the increased infectiousness of this new mpox type, probably should have made things a bit different, now thinking about it…

yeah that looks right, this market will be fine once the people betting no on this market see it lol. I might just be too paranoid about it but seems like it’s gonna be pretty bad sadly.

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