
2024 US Open Men’s singles finals
26
1kṀ15kresolved Sep 9
Resolved
YESQuarterfinals: 🇺🇸 Fritz (Yes) - 🇩🇪 Zverev (No)
Resolved
NOQuarterfinals: 🇧🇬 Dimitrov (Yes) - 🇺🇸 Tiafoe (No)
Resolved
YESQuarterfinals: 🇬🇧 Jack Draper (Yes) - 🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur (No)
Resolved
YESQuarterfinals: 🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner (Yes) - Daniil Medvedev (No)
Resolved
YESSemifinals: 🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner (Yes) - 🇬🇧 Jack Draper (No)
Resolved
YESSemifinals: 🇺🇸 Taylor Fritz (Yes) - 🇺🇸 Frances Tiafoe (No)
Resolved
YESFinal: 🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner (Yes) - 🇺🇸 Taylor Fritz (No)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought Ṁ25 NO
@kurt Due to my non-perfect English skills I kind of can’t understand how serious you are right now (I’m sorry 😔), but since you actually bought it down to ~50%, I’m thinking that maybe you’re, like, can’t see a US flag emoji on this sub-market? I mean, maybe for some reason your phone/computer doesn’t showing it? Because it’s actually should look like that:

- so, we already know that No is going to be one of the American players, and Yes is probably will be Sinner, who is #1 right now and probably will destroy any of the two US guys. So the probability on this “Final” market is unlikely to be 50/50, more like 60% or 70%, something like that..