Will Polymarket fairly resolve all US 2024 presidential election markets up through inauguration?
Plus
5
Ṁ12kJan 16
97%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution source: me.
Polymarket is partially funded by Peter Thiel who has strong opinions in opposition to democracy and in support of Trump.
Historically Polymarket partially resolved one market contrary to logic by bailing out the side that lost, presumably due to Thiel's intervention. Will they do it again?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Polymarket crash on Election Day?
39% chance
Will $250mm or more in total volume trade on Polymarket on Election Day?
26% chance
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform Polymarket's?
8% chance
What 2024 markets will resolve in the same direction as Trump winning the election? [Free Response Correlation Market]
Which prediction market will call the presidential winner first? (95% prob at Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi, Predictit)
Will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029 conditional on who wins the presidential election?
Will a Co-Host of Election Profit Makers podcast place a bet on Polymarket by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Warren place a single bet on polymarket before the 2024 election
22% chance
When (EST) will any option on the "Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?" market reach and stay at ≥90%?