Will MicroStrategy file for bankruptcy between Jan 1, 2025 and Dec 31, 2025.
MicroStrategy is operating a pyramid scheme. They are selling $1 of Bitcoin for $2-$3. They are also buying the top, and doing so in increasing size.
The convertible bonds confuse people. You cannot create money out of thin air - and MicroStrategy is not providing a service of value.
If you want to buy Bitcoin with leverage, save yourself 50% and do it with options or borrow your own money.
What will be really interesting is if MicroStrategy's premium collapses and it takes $30+ Billion out of the crypto markets. It could be a shock similar to FTX and Celsius.
The premium can go negative (see GBTC).
The stockholders can get zero - bondholders get priority.
It's not a ponzi, but it's a sophisticated scam that should be illegal.