How much volume will Polymarket do on Trump to win the Rep 2024 presidential nomination?

Plus

Ṁ56k

resolved Jul 23

100%92%

10-20 million

0.8%

< 10 million

20-40 million

1.0%

40-60 million

1.1%

60-80 million

0.9%

80-100 million

1.0%

100+ million

Volume based on the official numbers from the UI (or other sources if necessary)
https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1

Polymarket | Who will win the U.S. 2024 Republican presid...

Polymarket | This is a market group on The Republican Party nominee for U.S. 2024 Presidential Elections.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Polymarket

#2024 Republican Primaries

Get

1,000

and

3.00

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ5,910
2		Ṁ782
3		Ṁ399
4		Ṁ225
5		Ṁ3

6 Comments

8 Holders

82 Trades

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bought Ṁ4,000 YES

@MaybeNotDepends resolves to 10-20 mil

When this was originally designed there was only one market. I think, spirit of the market, I should include both Republican nomination markets for 2024.

reposted

reposting to get more trades - there's a massive subsidy here, so you can basically dump as much mana here as you want

The main market is at $5.8M in volume right now; the market on the 2020 election as a whole got $10.8M in volume when it closed.

@duck_master Nice. I forgot to look at the 2020 market. It's hard to say what will happen as we could always go exponential. Apparently Trump has even tweeted out two references to Polymarket odds.

If we get some trades, I'll add liquidity after we've got better prices.

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