How much volume will Polymarket do on Trump to win the Rep 2024 presidential nomination?
Plus
8
Ṁ56kresolved Jul 23
100%92%
10-20 million
0.8%
< 10 million
3%
20-40 million
1.0%
40-60 million
1.1%
60-80 million
0.9%
80-100 million
1.0%
100+ million
Volume based on the official numbers from the UI (or other sources if necessary)
https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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The main market is at $5.8M in volume right now; the market on the 2020 election as a whole got $10.8M in volume when it closed.
@duck_master Nice. I forgot to look at the 2020 market. It's hard to say what will happen as we could always go exponential. Apparently Trump has even tweeted out two references to Polymarket odds.
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