Me, male, 28 living in Berlin.
She, female 36 living in Switzerland.
We are 2 weeks into a fresh relationship.
She told me she’s a dominatrix but claims that she’s not sleeping with clients.
Reasons to mistrust:
She basically lied to me for two weeks about her job, telling me she was working in marketing when she was actually also working as a dominatrix in a S/M studio.
She was telling me about coworkers and clients as if they were working in her marketing job, when actually they were part of the S/M studio.
I looked up the S/M studio website and on it, sex is not listed as being offered but also not as a taboo.
I found another, shadier website for the same studio, and there sex is being offered.
She previously lied to me about other, smaller things.
Reasons to trust:
She was ashamed about it and I believe her she was scared to tell me.
She was truthful about other, smaller things (e.g. touching clients‘ genitals) where she knew that I wouldn’t like them a lot and where she was probably also uncomfortable to share them.
Info
This market will resolve to no if she won’t admit otherwise or I feel it’s reasonable to mistrust her.
Update 2025-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of Sex:
Sex is defined as vaginal intercourse.
Only vaginal intercourse with a client will be counted as evidence of sleeping with a client.
Update 2025-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:
Event Count: A single occurrence of vaginal intercourse with a client during the timeframe of the relationship will count as evidence.
This single instance, as per the definition of sex (vaginal intercourse) outlined earlier, is sufficient to resolve the market.
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https://manifold.markets/TimothyBandors/will-max-lucids-heart-break-within?play=true
Will Max Lucid's heart break within 6 months? (""""Non sexual Dominatrix"""")
After a long conversation with her I decided that it is highly probable that she told the truth.
As I mentioned previously I won’t do any kind of sting operation to confirm this. I decided to resolve this to no based on my gut feeling and due to the fact that she had plausible reasons for the information on the website (she didn’t manage the account and told the manager to adapt the information)
@KevinBlaw "definitely" - the only way it's definite is if you know her and you're one of those clients she's "banging" and if that's a case you should probably confess in his DMs or something
@MaxLucid how is it sad to bet on whether your girlfriend is cheating on you (which she is) then be upset about it when you arbitrarily decide she’s not and want to grouse about it?
@KevinBlaw Bro you bet on a market with no criteria for how it would resolve, this is a perfectly valid resolution given the description. When I didn't like the criteria I didn't bet, it's simple as
@KevinBlaw wtf how come you get to grouse at people but I don't get to grouse at your grousing. That's a double standard bro! And I don't even have a policy of silence, I like yapping! wtf bro
@Tumbles of you like yapping prove it by not yapping and telling people to stop yapping. Thats the double standard that you are engaging in.
@MaxLucid I'm happy you made a prediction market for this question you had, to get information from other people on the issue, even when its hard to resolve.
@MaxLucid I hope it doesn't stop you from asking more questions on the site. people aren't always this inflammatory around here, hopefully you make and bet on and enjoy other markets 🧡