Will the odds of this market be below 50% at the end of 2024?

Basic

13

Ṁ92Jan 2

49%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will be based on the "chance" of the market at 12:00am, Jan 1, 2025. Resolves "yes" if the chance is strictly below 50%.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Note @MaxJiangfbf8 that "by" means "at or before". But since this market only depends on the state of things *at* the end of 2024, and not before, the use of "by" in the title is confusing. Would suggest changing it to "at the end of 2024"

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