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MANIFOLD
Futarchy Chess [Black Turn 4]
2
แน€150แน€22
in 12 hours
50%
d5
47%
Bc5
44%
Nxe4
41%
kb4
39%
h6

Current Position:

The highest priced answer at market close will be chosen. All other answers will resolve N/A.
The chosen answer will resolve Yes if the player who makes the move ultimately wins, No if they lose, and 50% if the game ends in a draw.
Tomorrow, a market will decide the other player's move.

Answers must be legal, correctly disambiguated moves. Answers created in the final two hours of the market are ineligible to be chosen.

Answers may be edited before anyone bets on them or by me at the start of a market (i will only use this to correct mistakes) and will be treated as their original move if edited outside of these circumstances.
Resigning and offering draws are not legal moves.
Ties (using the user view, not the api) are broken by (# yes holders - # no holders).

Who will win? https://manifold.markets/MaxE/who-will-win-futarchy-chess?r=TWF4RQ

Previous moves:
1. e4 e5
2. Nf3 Nc6
3. Bc4 Nf6
4. Ng5

Market context
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bought แน€7 NO

@AlanTennant is this supposed to be Nb4?