Basic
11
4.0k
resolved Jun 22
100%55%
161 - 180
·
1mo
0.5%
< 100
·
1mo
0.7%
101 - 120
·
1mo
0.7%
121 - 140
·
1mo
25%
141 - 160
·
1mo
7%
181 - 200
·
1mo
5%
201 - 220
·
1mo
2%
221 - 240
·
1mo
0.8%
241 - 260
·
1mo
0.7%
261 - 280
·
1mo
0.7%
281 - 300
·
1mo
0.7%
> 300
·
1mo

How many times will Former President Donald J. Trump “truth” (aka post) from his Truth Social account between Saturday, June 15, 2024, and Friday, June 21, 2024?

Washington Post analysis shows Trump increasing social media use since his ban from Twitter (now known as X) in January 2021.  Where he was “tweeting” on Twitter 18 times per day, Trump is now “truthing” on Truth Social 29 times per day on average.

The market closes on June 21, 2024, at 11:59PM ET. Dates are inclusive and the time zone is Eastern US.

Only "truths" (posts) made by the @realDonaldTrump account will count. "ReTruths" will not count towards the total. The total of truths on June 22, 2024, will resolve the market. If any truths from that 7-day period were also deleted before resolution, they will not be counted. The timestamps of the truths will determine when they occurred.


The market creator will not trade in this market.


Background:

Truth Social account

Social media use by Donald Trump

How Trump has become angrier and more isolated on Truth Social

Trump, Twitter, and Truth Social: how Trump used both mainstream and alt-tech social media to drive news media attention

Trump Twitter Archive

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I think I count 13 so far today. So I make the current count 155 with 8 and a half hours left. (Someone feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.)

You were correct, but he's 'truthed' a slew of endorsements this evening.

I missed a trick not buying more at the end of the day! Thanks for the market, really fun.

Thursday, June 20: 18 posts

Averaging 23.7/day since June 15. On pace for 166.

@traders This market closes at midnight tonight ET. Any posts/truths/tweets after then will not be counted.

Wednesday, June 19: 19 posts

Averaging 24.8/day since June 15. On pace for 174.

Interestingly, no Juneteenth post yesterday.

Tuesday, June 18: 43 posts

He's averaging 26.25 posts/day since June 15. On pace for 184 posts/week.

Monday, June 17: 21 posts

Sunday, June 16: 15 posts

How many times will Former President Donald J. Trump “truth” (aka post) from his Truth Social account

I believe the technical term is "tweet". One can tweet on Truth Social, on X-Twitter, on whatever the heck Threads is... they're all tweets.

This might be old - but I thought it was a legal issue for the other platforms.

https://www.mandourlaw.com/twitter-wins-rights-tweet-trademark/

Yeah, I really wonder if you can assert a trademark you're very publicly not using.

I hadn't thought about that part. You definitely cannot. I wonder if they're using the name in some obscure way to protect it.

Saturday, June 15: 26 posts

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