
David Becker, executive director of the Center for Election Innovation and Research, told Axios,
It is a near guarantee that Donald Trump will declare victory the night of Nov. 5 and the margin won't matter — it won't matter whether he's accurate and he actually won, or whether he was defeated soundly
Will Donald Trump declare that he has won the 2024 US presidential election before 8:00 AM Eastern Time (5 AM Pacific Time) on Wednesday November 6th, 2024?
To determine whether Donald Trump declared himself the winner of the 2024 US presidential election on election night, statements made by Donald Trump between 12:00 PM November 5th 2024 and 8:00 AM November 6th 2024 Eastern Time will be analyzed. If Donald Trump says during this time, through any medium including his official social media accounts, that he has won the 2024 US presidential election, then this question will resolve as YES. Otherwise, it will resolve as NO.
To qualify, a statement or declaration must explicitly and unambiguously state that Trump considers himself, or his campaign, the winner of the 2024 election, using clear language such as "Frankly, we did win this election" or similar. The statement must clearly refer to the past or present tense, and cannot use conditional phrasing, e.g., "I have won" or "I am the winner" rather than "I will win" or "If you count the legal votes, I easily win". The statement must directly pertain to the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election, rather than any other election.
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