Will GPT-4 be announced before March 1st 2023?
22%
chance

This market resolves to YES if OpenAI releases GPT-4 before March 1st 2023, Pacific Time. Otherwise, it resolves to NO. This will be determined via some credible blog post, paper, tweet, or other such media, from the staff of OpenAI. I will use my best judgement regarding edge cases.

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elibutchad avatar

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VictorLevoso avatar

I think its likely that danvinci was going to be gpt4 before the chinchilla paper and PALM came out.
I does seems likely that by now they have something else that's even better but whether they will call it gpt4 depends more on PR considerations than anything else.

bcongdon avatar

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