Will America engage in a military action against the Houthi Rebels in 2023? (read description)
127
960
1.3K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

N/A

  • This resolves N/A if a branch of the American military executes a boarding operation on the Israeli ship "Galaxy Leader".

  • This resolves N/A if the American military only executes bloodless (physical) operations against Houthi Rebels in 2023 (after November 21st). (no cyber warfare, no bank freeze)

YES

  • This resolves YES if a branch of the American military attacks and causes at least one Houthi casualty in 2023 (after November 21st).

NO

  • This resolves NO if no branch of the American military attacks the Houthi Rebels in 2023 (after November 21st).

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bought Ṁ50 of YES

Resolve

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES
predicted YES

@Matthew

This can resolve YES

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Of course, among all dates of the year, it would happen on December 31st hahaha

bought Ṁ650 of YES

According to U.S Central Command, attack helicopters from two Navy ships fired upon Houthis in self-defense, killing the crews of 3 boats.

Related market

News from today. But note:

> The Defense Department did not identify where it believed the fire came from. However, Houthi military spokesman Brig. Gen. Yahya Saree claimed the attacks, saying the first vessel was hit by a missile and the second by a drone while in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that links the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. Saree did not mention any U.S. warship being involved in the attack.

https://apnews.com/article/red-sea-houthi-yemen-ships-attack-israel-hamas-war-gaza-strip-716770f0a780160e9abed98d3c48fbde

predicted NO

Update: https://news.yahoo.com/israeli-linked-oil-tanker-seized-125217422.html?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

The US Navy engaged the Houthi Rebels who took over a different ship. Due to the resolution criteria, since it seems to have been a bloodless operation, this market can probably only resolve YES or N/A at this point. Let me know if you see any reason to resolve in another manner.

There was apparently no Israeli crew on the ship and it’s under Bahamas flag, operated by a UK company: https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/galaxy-leader-ship-seized-yemen-houthis-1.7034135

What is the story that ties it to Israel?

@mariopasquato Oh, the owner. Got it

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