Will Manifold get rid of the colored probability bars shown on markets in the home feed before midday on June 20th, 2022?
13
8
Ṁ237
resolved Jun 6
Resolved
YES
This market resolves to YES if the colored probability bars shown on markets in the home feed are gone or substantially modified away from that 3-word definition (aka they are no longer colored, or no longer bars that are showing probability, etc) by noon Texas time on June 20th. May 20, 6:31am: to clarify, if they change to be the same color regardless of probability I would count that as a substantive change. It's the "different colors based on probability" I am counting as part of that definition. May 20, 2:47pm: whether you want to bet or not, feel free to add a comment indicating whether you would want them removed. YES as the first word of the comment indicates a desire for removal of the bars and/or colors, NO indicates a desire for them to stay.
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predicted YES
It happened! https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/pull/402#event-6753726204
predicted YES
Resolution note: resolved YES per my clarifying comment in the description on May 20th, far in advance of this PR showing up. The bars are no longer different colors based on probability, so they have gotten rid of the original colored bar design.
bought Ṁ20 of NO
Voting no. I’m a noob to markets, though, so maybe that’s why i prefer it. I think if the buttons for bet yes/bet no stay green and red, then it makes sense to keep using red/green on the bars (for design continuity sake). Although I don’t know much about ui design. Id rather have non color coded bars than no bars at all, though.
predicted NO
Actually, I suppose red/green is already somewhat unbalanced, since graphs themselves are always green.
bought Ṁ5 of YES
Would be great if the color showed recent changes instead, or profit/loss
bought Ṁ110 of YES
Recent comments on discord with a demo of green-only bars suggest this is at least a live possibility.
predicted NO
It's a good candidate for showing what probability my bet was made at by adding markers on the bar. Then I can easily see how much the market has shifted. Makes this design element more useful too. Related market: https://manifold.markets/AkhilWable/will-manifold-add-markers-on-the-co
bought Ṁ10 of YES
They are ugly and pointless.
I think they are redundant but could be made more useful if we disappear the percentages.
this wouldn't work for range markets tho :(
predicted YES
@ian ah see I agree they're redundant but I want the percentages to stay and the bars to go.
predicted YES
YES (why not turn this into a poll as well, following the example of some similar markets in the past?)
bought Ṁ5 of YES
I dislike the bars tremendously, but honestly I don't think they will be removed. I'm only betting yes here to signal my position to the devs.
bought Ṁ2 of YES
I dislike the bars.
bought Ṁ60 of NO
I’m a fan
bought Ṁ60 of NO
I honestly find it pretty fascinating how different people have different intuitions around whether numbers suffice or bars/colors help. In any case, thanks for your feedback, though I still think the bars are the best thing since sliced toast haha
predicted YES
@Austin I could be persuaded to have bars of some sort - but not the green/red bars. The intuitive meaning of those colors does not match the situation.
They are distracting and utterly redundant to the displayed probability number. Also, coloring them green and red connotes "good" and "bad" to many people, which doesn't match any sort of general value judgment on what markets "should" say. Will anyone agree with me that they should be removed?

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