Market resolves YES if Manifold implements new technical or administrative policies to close markets or sanction creators or markets whose primary purpose is to generate mana/activity for the creator and/or traders with a preordained or guaranteed outcome. Resolves NO if no such changes occur by 1/1/2024.
Examples of harvesting mana:
Self-satisfying markets: "Will this market get X bets" (These technically are already against the community guidelines.)
Near-impossible, near-certain and/or clickbait markets: "Will Apple go bankrupt by Friday"
Note that there is a legitimate interest in near-certain markets: research on the time value of M$, and for Manifold the business, other markets which increase engagement also bring in users.
@brp there is legitimate interest to figure out interest rates since that helps to figure out inaccuracies in other markets. I don't think there is an interest in things such as
"Will Apple go bankrupt today?" Or "will the sun rise tomorrow"
@MarcusAbramovitch Came here to post that comment. Maybe also pointing out that whacko harvest markets make MM look like crackpots or morons.
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