Will Manifold crack down on markets designed to harvest mana by the end of 2023?
21
410Ṁ2361
resolved Dec 9
Resolved
YES

Market resolves YES if Manifold implements new technical or administrative policies to close markets or sanction creators or markets whose primary purpose is to generate mana/activity for the creator and/or traders with a preordained or guaranteed outcome. Resolves NO if no such changes occur by 1/1/2024.

Examples of harvesting mana:

  • Self-satisfying markets: "Will this market get X bets" (These technically are already against the community guidelines.)

  • Near-impossible, near-certain and/or clickbait markets: "Will Apple go bankrupt by Friday"

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