What will be the broad ethnicity of the next U.S. school shooter?
➕
Plus
17
Ṁ5690
resolved Jan 22
ResolvedN/A
31%
Caucasian
62%
African
2%
Asian
2.0%
Middle Eastern
1.6%
Indian
1.6%
Other

Answer will be determined by the perpetrator of the next entry to this wikipedia page after the commencement of this market opening.

Ethnicity will be determined by inputting images/news sources into Claude and ChatGPT and having them answer which of the above the perpetrator would be closest to. (If Claude refuses to answer but ChatGPT does we will still take that as the answer)

A conviction is not necessary. Once it become common consensus of who the shooter was, as determined by me, we will go with that person. I think the resolution of both who the person is and their ethnicity will end up being uncontroversial. We will discuss it before resolution.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_school_shootings_in_the_United_States_(2000%E2%80%93present)

  • Update 2024-18-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Indians refers to people from India

    • Asians refers to people from countries east of India

    • Middle Eastern refers to people from countries west of India

    • Hispanic individuals will resolve as:

    • White if they appear phenotypically white (e.g., Nikolas Cruz)

    • Other if they appear sufficiently Indigenous American

    • Will resolve to another category if their appearance more closely matches that category

  • Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Shooting must include others being shot, not just the shooter. (AI summary of creator comment)

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I made a mistake everyone, because I should have resolved this sooner with the previous two updates to the wikipedia page, but I also should have added a caveat that the shooting must include others being shot, not just the shooter.

I think in fairness to people who bought after I should have resolved, and the fact that I failed to specify if anyone else being shot was relevant, I have to rule this NA.

@MattF thank god no one else got shot. i would have lost so much manna like 2% of my NW

bought Ṁ250 YES

Solomon Henderson, shooter at Antioch High School, was an African American.

Manifold getting out the calipers yet again

@marvingardens not going to need them, this one is pretty unambiguous.

@BungalowBernard same comment on every n/a market

@marvingardens the ethnicity of the shooter he mentioned is unambiguous imo. The reason for the NA has nothing to do with that. Your comment seems to be in bad faith.

@MattF bad faith regarding what?

@marvingardens Towards the goal of using conversation as a means of discovering, sharing, and reaching understanding of truth in the universe.

@MattF i am more interested in the sociology of our present platform than in the supposed "truth" of someone's ethnicity, which I think is clear in both my top-level comment and the follow-up you didn't like. i also think that that interest is far better aligned with "discovering, sharing, and reaching understanding of truth in the universe."

if there is consonance between my two comments, and dissonance between them and someone else's reply to me, why would you identify mine in particular as being in bad faith? i didn't "yes and" them, they didn't "yes and" me, we both have things we're interested in conveying.

what i'm apprehending is that i'm "in bad faith" for not contributing to your project in scientifically assigning ethnicities.

@marvingardens you are an intellectually dishonest person and your fate is that that is also the sort of person who you will spend your life talking to.

@MattF was that... meant to... denigrate yourself?

@marvingardens no but I do appreciate you getting back to conversational sequiturs.

reposted

Hey! what do you think this question is about? 🙂

@PaulHan just goading people into voting up the obvious

What do Hispanics resolve as? Caucasian?

@spiderduckpig Also, is Indian referring to Amerindians or Indians from India? And in the case of the latter option, I assume Asians is referring to East Asians?

@spiderduckpig Indians from India, Asians would be anyone from a place east of India, Middle Eastern anyone west of India. Hispanic would resolve white in the case of someone like Nikolas Cruz, Other for anyone who looks or is sufficiently Indigenous American, unless they look more something else. Sorry for the lack of rigour on this!

@MattF

from an arxiv paper on the subject

bought Ṁ250 NO

bought Ṁ350 YES

please easiest money ever

@PaulHan macro-aggression

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 65% order

@MattF decided this is gonna be the school i die on

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