Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if Mary Smith is physically present at the Manifest '26 conference. It resolves to NO if she does not attend.
Attendance will be verified by:
Public confirmation from Mary Smith (e.g., social media posts, blog updates, or public statements confirming her presence).
Photographic or video evidence of her at the venue during the event.
Official attendee lists or roster acknowledgments, if made public.
If, by the conclusion of the event, no such evidence exists, the market will resolve to NO.
Background
Manifest is an annual conference focused on prediction markets, forecasting, and related topics. Manifest '26 is the scheduled iteration of this event. Traders should monitor Mary Smith’s public channels and official event announcements for attendance confirmation.
This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
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People are also trading
@traders ouch guys I bought a ticket to the event with mana but no plane tickets still 😂 does it really make it that much less likely???
@QuroeQuroe yeh but I just got initial permission to submit for the travel today for work 😍 I am allowed to use this opportunity to try and recruit, as a work expense!