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MANIFOLD
@MarySmith attends Manifest '26?
0
Ṁ100
Jun 16
70%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Mary Smith is physically present at the Manifest '26 conference. It resolves to NO if she does not attend.

Attendance will be verified by:

  1. Public confirmation from Mary Smith (e.g., social media posts, blog updates, or public statements confirming her presence).

  2. Photographic or video evidence of her at the venue during the event.

  3. Official attendee lists or roster acknowledgments, if made public.

If, by the conclusion of the event, no such evidence exists, the market will resolve to NO.

Background

Manifest is an annual conference focused on prediction markets, forecasting, and related topics. Manifest '26 is the scheduled iteration of this event. Traders should monitor Mary Smith’s public channels and official event announcements for attendance confirmation.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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@MarySmith How many of the past manifests have you gone to?