In a xeet on 20250512 Lumina Probiotic, the company reviewed by Scott Alexander that creates genetically modified bacteria to prevent tooth cavities, claimed 40% of preorders were shipped, 40% would be done in 2 weeks and the remaining 20% would be done in 4 weeks.
I will resolve the last option YES if they don't deliver my order. I won't correspond with them in a way that would effect my order in particular. Called a couple weeks ago and left a message on a line I guess never gets checked ๐
1,000People are also trading
@TheAllMemeingEye yes, anyone who believes them to be more competent than I do is free to take my Mana away from me on this wager
๐ I reserve the right to update my priors on any group or individual. I'd still want to try their product if it took another year or 20 - the people in my community were talking about pooling our money together and sending someone to prospera before direct to consumer became an option, under the premise that we'd figure out a way to seed ourselves off of the person who went ๐
Also there are so many things that have to be done right for a business to work.
The market provides!
@MarySmith maybe something like how has it impacted you within a year of application, maybe multiple options ? Obviously if possible seeing a dentist at the end of the year for an inspection?
Stuff like no/very little smell after the night.
Breath being affected overall.
Any side-effects ?
No new cavities by end of year and such...
@MarySmith should this be a set market instead, because there's some chance that they all resolve NO? @ian
@MarySmith You can say in the description that you'll resolve to the maximum option if it's not out by then!