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No one has taken me up on my offer yet ☹

@Yoav you made m4000 on the market maybe you could send me just the stuffie head.

Resolution notes.

@Yoav 's offer was the only option at market close for me to exchange a mana for a stuffie. Although Yoav is a private individual, the offer was a public offer (here and on a public Discord). A squishmallow appears to be a stuffie. Alas the offer is not compelling for me, but that is not part of the market criteria. The offer is to all Manifold users, and I encourage people to take it up if they are interested.

Per my comment to @BenjaminCosman below:

I need to be convinced it is a real offer.

Here I am partially convinced that it is a real offer. m8500 is a steep markup for a $20 stuffy, given the alternative of donating it, but not "a billion mana". Yoav has a comment record on Manifold and is not an obvious scammer or chatbot. @sophiawisdom has the most NO shares and has not contested Yoav's offer as fake. I currently believe there is a 80% chance that this is a real offer. That is, I expect in 20% of worlds a user would transfer the mana and not get the stuffie, or it would not be as shown.

I had no advance notice of Yoav's offer, did not make any private commitments regarding how I would resolve the market, and generally did not invite this edge case. I have no shares in this market beyond the market creation fee/subsidy.

I am resolving this market to 80%.

I’ll sell this Squishmallow plushie for M8,000 genuinely.

https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/918236290439335936/1063668194423869480

I think this offer is fair since it is worth $20 and at a conversion rate of M30,000->$100 that is $26, which is a meager return. I give that conversion rate since I honestly have nothing to do with that much mana and that is only 200% above the dollar to mana rate iirc.

Offer is open to negotiation, in case that is unaffordable for some.

@Yoav For resolution purposes, do you have additional stuffies to sell should that one be sold out?

@Yoav Does the cost include shipping/delivery and if so to what locations? Is it mana on delivery or up-front or otherwise?

I have a couple of that stuffy, and if those are sold out I have larger stuffies of various kinds, but I’m more attached to those so I would need to negotiate for good offer.

Looking at eBay for similar stuffies, I see that most merchants charge ~$5 for shipping, so I’d charge the buyer that much in dollars or mana at my conversion rate, whichever they prefer. Bay Area delivery is free, however. Mana is upfront.

$5 is for domestic, I forgot to mention. For international shipping I’ll charge the buyer whatever their preferred method costs in either dollars or equivalent mana.

If I offer such an exchange to all users, would that count?

@BenjaminCosman I need to be convinced it is a real offer. Perhaps because you make at least one sale or because you are endorsed by Manifold. Just saying "give me a billion mana and I'll mail you a stuffy" won't suffice.

Designing and manufacturing custom plushies takes a lot of time.

@Yev I agree, I think it would have to be an existing design with at most a custom logo to meet this market timeline.