Will the assasination attempt at Slovakian PM Fico be used to crack down on opposition/press by May 2025?
14
34
1k
2025
48%
chance

Resolves YES if non-trivial new legislation will be passed in Slovakia that

a) limits the freedom of press and/or political opposition (examples include restrictions on financing, penalties for "incorrect reporting", significant changes in the publicly-owned channels etc.). The legislation needs to cause international freedom-monitoring organizations to make statements against the legislation

b) the assasination attempt at Fico is cited by the politicians proposing the legislation as (one of) the reason this legislation is necessary. It must be cited repeatedly among the reasons - a single mention in a parliament debate won't count.

The legislation must be passed into law on May 1st 2025 the latest.

Somewhat weak criteria, I will not bet.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

YES, because you should never waste a good crisis.