
Will Petr Pavel (Czech president) meet Taiwanese president in person during his first term
Will Petr Pavel (Czech president) meet Taiwanese president in person during his first term
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Shortly after elections, Pavel had a phone call with the president of Taiwan.
As of March 2023 he has said that an in-person visit will not be a good idea but has explicitly allowed for the possibility of an in-person meeting on a neutral ground https://www.novinky.cz/clanek/domaci-navstevu-tchaj-wanu-pavel-neplanuje-zbytecne-by-to-pry-skodilo-obchodu-s-cinou-40427106
Unless something unexpected happens, Pavel's first term will end in early 2028.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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