https://twitter.com/MFAIceland/status/1723140270206722131
Resolves once the Icelandic authorities officially cancel evacuation orders trigerrerd by potential vulcanic eruption in the area or on Feb 1st 2024. Emergency services allowed to operate does not count, normal civilians must be allowed to return.
Iceland local time will be used for day boundaries. Will resolve to the last option immediately if civilians don't return by Feb 1st.
Clarification 2023-11-16: It seems a single person per household was allowed to return for a short time, this and similar operations will not resolve this market - a general return of citizens must be allowed for longer period of time without substantial limitations.
1,000Bloomberg has "Around 40 people stayed in their homes in Grindavik over the Christmas and New Year’s holiday, against the advice of authorities, after the town was made accessible to them on Dec. 23, Ulfar Ludviksson, police chief in the Reykjanes peninsula, said by phone on Thursday." and "“According to the current risk assessment, an eruption isn’t expected to happen within the town itself so we have allowed residents to return home,”" https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-04/iceland-lets-grindavik-inhabitants-return-home-near-volcano
So apparently, I missed the evacuation orders being lifted, and the market should have resolved in late December. But since it did not resolve, people seem to have assumed that the lifting of evacuation orders was not enough. I am currently considering NAing the market due to this issue - happy to hear other opinions.
@MartinModrak I think the evacuation orders were still in place though? Sounds like they opened the roads but kept the evacuation order in effect. I think that's what the fact that people were discouraged from coming back means.
@Shump I think it is clear that when people are "discouraged" from something, they are not "prohibited" from doing it. The police chief quoted above is quite explicit that people were "allowed" to return - which is in contrast to the previous situation where people were not allowed to return.
I have missed that some residents were allowed to return in early January - e.g. this article from Jan 15th clearly mentions that "More than 100 people had returned in recent weeks, only to be evacuated again at the weekend." https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/15/grindavik-residents-face-uncertain-future-after-volcano-erupts-again-iceland
If anyone has good sources/arguments on whether the return was official, I'd be happy to see it.
"When asked about the prospect of a homecoming, Víðir remarked that Grindavík residents would be unable to return home until land uplift — the geological process where the Earth’s surface rises due to tectonic activities like magma intrusion — in town ceases." (Dec 1st, https://www.icelandreview.com/news/grindavik-awaits-end-of-land-uplift-for-return-home/)