Will any federal "non-core property" be sold to a Trump family member?
Will any federal "non-core property" be sold to a Trump family member?
4
100Ṁ2002028
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
According to reporting from Wired, the Trump administration is planning on selling a large number of government facilities, including FBI Headquarters, the Oklahoma City Federal Building, the Diplomacy Museum, and more. Will any of the facilities listed here be sold to a member of the Trump family (including in-laws)?
Resolves N/A if no facility listed is sold.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Trump buy Greenland?
14% chance
Will any of Trump's trophy properties be seized by the State of New York by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will the State of New York seize and liquidate any of Donald Trump's properties by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Trump sell Mar-a-Lago before the end of 2025?
2% chance
If Donald Trump is charged with a federal crime, will he make a deal?
3% chance
If Trump wins, would he build 10 new cities on federal land?
4% chance
Will any charges be brought as a result of Trump receiving or handling firearms while under federal indictment?
1% chance
Will Trump seize the endowments?
12% chance
Will Trump sell 25% or more of his Truth Social $DJT shares by the end of June 2025?
30% chance
What percent of Trump's Truth Social stock will he still own at the end of 2024?
79% chance