Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the House of the Blackheads (Mustpeade maja), the historic venue and spaces operated by the Tallinn Philharmonic (Tallinna Filharmoonia), hosts, accommodates, or opens for any public or private events (such as concerts, weddings, corporate events, conferences, or exhibitions) at any point between July 1 and July 31, 2026, inclusive.

This market will resolve to NO if the venue remains completely closed to all public and private events for the entire duration of July 1 to July 31, 2026, due to scheduled refurbishment and renovation works.

Source of Truth: Resolution will be based on the official event schedule and rental updates posted on the Tallinn Philharmonic / House of the Blackheads official website or reliable local news reporting regarding the progress of the venue's renovations.

Background

The House of the Blackheads (Mustpeade maja) in Tallinn, Estonia, is the home of the Tallinn Philharmonic Society and the Tallinn Chamber Orchestra. The historic building regularly rents out its iconic halls—such as the Renaissance-style White Hall and the Gothic St. Olaf's Guild Hall—for various cultural and private functions.

The Tallinn Philharmonic announced that due to planned renovation and refurbishment works, the venue will be completely closed and unavailable for all events throughout the month of July 2026. This market monitors whether the closure will remain strictly in effect or if any events will end up taking place inside the spaces during July.

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