[short fuse] Who is the unannounced special guest on the last night of the DNC?
➕
Plus
180
Ṁ440k
resolved Aug 23
100%99.0%
Something different (No notable unannounced guest)
0.1%
Taylor Swift
0.1%
Beyonce
0.2%
A Republican politician (Romney, GWB, Pence)
0.0%
A Palestine activist (eg Uncommitted delegate) who isn’t otherwise a celebrity
0.0%
Chappell Roan
0.0%
Sabrina Carpenter
0.0%
Charli XCX
0.0%
Billie Eilish
0.0%
Kendrick Lamar
0.0%
Melania Trump
0.1%
Jimmy Carter
0.4%Other

Pink has already been announced, so she doesn’t count.

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If there’s ambiguity about when the special guest slot is in the schedule, and multiple of these occur (eg Billie and a Palestine speaker) the options will resolve 50/50.

sold Ṁ26 A Palestine activist... YES

Insane that I actually made Ṁ25 off this. Manifold low percentages are crazy

WP

bought Ṁ50 Other YES

The reverend and rabbi were the unscheduled surprise guests. The reverend was from san fransisco, just like that tweet hinted at. This market should to resolve to Other

Nothing "special" about them.

They were unscheduled and surprise guests, and they were even hinted at by leakers

Still nothing "special" about them.

.

Every night ended with a benediction, definitely should not resolve other based on that.

But the market says "special", and the description implies ~as big as Oprah. This market wasn't just about any rando who happened not to be on the schedule.

bought Ṁ1,000 A Republican politic... NO

TMZ is annoying in many ways but their scoops are rarely outright wrong! i'm shook

bought Ṁ500 A Republican politic... YES

Was Kinzinger scheduled?

I believe so.

Yes. This market is about an unscheduled surprise appearance.

Yes, on the speaker list on Wikipedia all day.

Resolving to Nobody in about an hour unless something crazy happens. Thanks all!

sold Ṁ902 Something different ... YES

I really should've gone to bed instead of collecting super valuable internet points but this was quite fun! Thanks :)

It should resolve to Other because the reverend and rabbi were unscheduled and even hinted at by leakers (reverend is from san fransicsco)

Imo that would be an insane way to resolve this market. The rumors were about an unscheduled guest of large cultural or political importance, and this market was about those rumors.

Please just stop @GregMister. A reverend and a rabbi are not f*cking special surprise guests.

What if the surprise was a cake for the second gentleman, but this thing got too out of control they decided to skip this?

bought Ṁ1 Taylor Swift YES

I won so much Mana from CM appearing late, that I'm laying off this action here. I got a good result from this market.

sold Ṁ342 Something different ... YES

Was this a right wing plot to sow disappointment? It didn't work!

bought Ṁ500 Something different ... YES

If a surprise guest appears at this point I'll eat part of a boot