Conditional on Biden NOT being the Democrat nominee, what will happen? [Add your own!]
Basic
87
แน16kNov 11
1D
1W
1M
ALL
22%
Trump wins the popular vote
0.8%
Harris is not the Democrat nominee for President
3%
RFK Jr. wins at least one EV
3%
Biden is not alive on Election Day
4%
Republicans win at least one of the following states: New York, California, New Jersey
7%
At least one SCOTUS Justice dies or retires before Election Day
44%
Jimmy Carter dies before the election
14%
Biden also leaves office
If Biden is the Democrat nominee for President, market resolves N/A.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Conditional upon the Democratic party replacing Joe Biden as nominee, will they win the election?
Conditional on Biden not being President BEFORE election Day, who will be the new sitting VP? [Add your answers!]
Conditional on Biden dropping out, will Trump be elected president?
48% chance
If anyone but Biden is the Democratic Party nominee, will they win the election?
Which of the following political scenarios will be true in the following 2024 US Presidential elections?
If Joe Biden is not the nominee, will a Democrat win the 2024 presidential election?
55% chance
Conditional on Biden being elected president in 2024, will a Democrat also be elected in 2028?
54% chance
๐ณ๏ธ Will Biden NOT Be Nominated AND Trump Be Elected?
47% chance
Will Democrats win 2024 presidential election *if Biden is not the nominee*?
52% chance
Which of the following will happen in the 2024 Presidential election? [ADD YOUR OWN ANSWERS (**see note**)]