This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially confirmed by the California Secretary of State's Office that Donald Trump has been legally disqualified from being on California's March 2024 primary ballot. Official confirmation may be in the form of a public announcement, press release, or an update on the Secretary of State's official website. In case of such an occurrence before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately to "Yes".
If no such official confirmation is made by the expiry date or if Trump remains listed on the primary ballot, the market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "disqualification" refers specifically to a legal ruling or action taken by the state of California that prevents Trump from being listed on the primary ballot. Voluntary withdrawals or other forms of removal are not considered disqualification.
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@MarcusAbramovitch do you disagree that this market should be resolved now to NO? Secretary of State has confirmed Trump will be on the ballot.
@ClubmasterTransparent so, i was travelling today, i have not been on manifold so just seeing this now.
I want to normalize resolving things when we know the answer and not just waiting until market close "because that is the close date"