This is a market on how much 'The Marvels' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl247366145/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 10 - 12) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Marvels' (2023) grosses more than $55,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by November 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ479 | |
| 2 | Ṁ95 | |
| 3 | Ṁ65 | |
| 4 | Ṁ63 | |
| 5 | Ṁ38 |
The film is seeing a Friday in the vicinity of where we expected it at $21.5M, and a weekend opening between $47M-$52M, the lowest ever for Disney‘s Marvel Cinematic Universe.
https://deadline.com/2023/11/box-office-the-marvels-1235599363/
Opening Weekend Range: $35M-$49M
Thursday pre-sales currently reflect these inherent and broader franchise challenges, as The Marvels lags 71 percent behind Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 and 74 percent behind Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania at the same point in the pre-release window.
With the embargo lifting on Wednesday morning, Rotten Tomatoes critics stand at a 55 percent approval rating across the first 77 published reviews.
https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-the-marvels-and-journey-to-bethlehem/
@MickBransfield What's this guy's record like? This is below even the revised estimates from elswehere.
@Panfilo I don't know the site's track record. Mediocre reviews and lagging ticket pre-sales are the points I thought notable.
The Marvels movie is out in theaters from November 10th and is the latest MCU film by Marvel Studios. Let’s look at the historical data to see how well these movies perform in their opening weekend. If we list the last 10 movies that Marvel* has produced, we will get the graph displayed below. As you can see, from 2017 (when Thor: Ragnarok was released), no movie has gotten equal or less than $50 mill in the opening weekend.
Even movies that are not considered fine works by experts like Eternals (6.2 imbD) or Thor: Love and Thunder (6.3 imbD) have grossed more than $50 million. After viewing this data, it is valid to think that just because the movie was released by Marvel, viewers will go and watch it, provoking that it gross more than $50 million.
* Not in collaboration with any other study
** Avengers movies are not included, because they are considered specials, which causes opening week earnings to raise abruptly.
Sources:
List of Marvel Movies: https://www.marvel.com/movies
Data of Opening Earnings: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/brand/bn3732077058/?sort=releaseDate&ref_=bo_bn__resort#table
imbD scores: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/brand/bn3732077058/?sort=releaseDate&ref_=bo_bn__resort#table
