Marcus Abramovitch
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Screenshots/announcements/demos without anyone outside OpenAI able to access them will not count.
Any release before the end of March 21st (EST) counts (API, Playground only, etc.).
Release must be publicly announced, rumors or anecdotes don't count.
Resolution based on my best judgment, thus I won't bet.
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน2,101 | |
| 2 | แน773 | |
| 3 | แน613 | |
| 4 | แน574 | |
| 5 | แน321 |
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Marcus Abramovitchsold แน37 of NO
As a note, I am getting rid of my position slowly. I accumulated it doing a pseudo-arb with the market ending on the 31st (if it is released before the 21st, it releases before the 31st).
I forgot that I said I wouldn't trade this market
Marcus Abramovitchpredicted NO at 65%
Just going to comment that there is now 8 days to go, a massive banking crisis in the US and this is trading at 65%.
Sort by:
YES shares
28,651
10,046
8,273
3,024
2,123
1,380
1,173
1,008
671
668
517
404
370
368
303
200
193
NO shares
5,227
1,255
788
780
499
315
300
.jpg%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Df5102a39-82bc-44a6-a47a-75749ab28c74&w=64&q=75){kind=small}
279
267
244
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197
186
157
142
Bolton Bailey
Will GPT-5 be released before March 31st, 2026?
Marcus Abramovitch
Will GPT-5 be released before December 31st, 2023?
Victor Li
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
Isaac King
Will GPT-5 be released before July 2024?
ada
Will GPT-4's parameter count be announced by the end of 2023?
Isaac King
Will GPT-5 be released before June 2024?
nmehndir
Will GPT-4's parameter count be publicly announced by the end of March?
Bionic
Will I be able to use base GPT-4 at any time in 2023?
Bionic
Will I be able to call the GPT-4 API in March?
Bolton Bailey
Will GPT-5 be released before March 31st, 2026?
Marcus Abramovitch
Will GPT-5 be released before December 31st, 2023?
Victor Li
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
Isaac King
Will GPT-5 be released before July 2024?
ada
Will GPT-4's parameter count be announced by the end of 2023?
Isaac King
Will GPT-5 be released before June 2024?
nmehndir
Will GPT-4's parameter count be publicly announced by the end of March?
Bionic
Will I be able to use base GPT-4 at any time in 2023?
Bionic
Will I be able to call the GPT-4 API in March?