Will GPT-4 be released before March 21st, 2023?
Technology•OpenAI•Technical AI Timelines•GPT-4 speculation
106
227
Ṁ2K
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
YES

Screenshots/announcements/demos without anyone outside OpenAI able to access them will not count.
Any release before the end of March 21st (EST) counts (API, Playground only, etc.).

Release must be publicly announced, rumors or anecdotes don't count.
Resolution based on my best judgment, thus I won't bet.

Get Ṁ200 play money

Related questions

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ2,101
2Ṁ773
3Ṁ613
4Ṁ574
5Ṁ321
5 Comments
90 Holders
336 Trades
Sort by:
bought Ṁ500 of YES

https://openai.com/research/gpt-4

predicted YES

https://twitter.com/sama/status/1635684890812485633?t=5hemwdBB9DCPTmgyFUcG-Q&s=19

sold Ṁ37 of NO

As a note, I am getting rid of my position slowly. I accumulated it doing a pseudo-arb with the market ending on the 31st (if it is released before the 21st, it releases before the 31st).

I forgot that I said I wouldn't trade this market

predicted NO

Just going to comment that there is now 8 days to go, a massive banking crisis in the US and this is trading at 65%.

bought Ṁ70 of YES

https://twitter.com/mark_k/status/1633901801643622411

Related in Technology

See more Technology questions

Related in OpenAI

See more OpenAI questions

Related in Technical AI Timelines

See more Technical AI Timelines questions

Related in GPT-4 speculation

See more GPT-4 speculation questions

More related questions