Will GPT-4 be released before March 21st, 2023?
Resolved
YES

Screenshots/announcements/demos without anyone outside OpenAI able to access them will not count.
Any release before the end of March 21st (EST) counts (API, Playground only, etc.).

Release must be publicly announced, rumors or anecdotes don't count.
Resolution based on my best judgment, thus I won't bet.

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€2,101
2แน€773
3แน€613
4แน€574
5แน€321
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rockenots avatar
rockenotsbought แน€500 of YES
MarcusAbramovitch avatar
Marcus Abramovitchsold แน€37 of NO

As a note, I am getting rid of my position slowly. I accumulated it doing a pseudo-arb with the market ending on the 31st (if it is released before the 21st, it releases before the 31st).

I forgot that I said I wouldn't trade this market

MarcusAbramovitch avatar
Marcus Abramovitchpredicted NO at 65%

Just going to comment that there is now 8 days to go, a massive banking crisis in the US and this is trading at 65%.

VictorLi avatar
Victor Libought แน€70 of YES