Will Five Nights at Freddy's gross >$60M on opening weekend?

104

719

Ṁ68K

Ṁ1.2K

resolved Oct 30

Resolved

YES

ALL

This is a market on how much 'Five Nights at Freddy's' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl764248833/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 27 - October 29) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Five Nights at Freddy's' (2023) grosses more than $60,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by November 6, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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14 Comments

87 Holders

280 Trades

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bought Ṁ44 of YES

https://deadline.com/2023/10/box-office-five-nights-at-freddys-1235584788/

‘Five Nights At Freddy’s’ $68M Busting All Sorts Of Opening Records: Best For Halloween, Peacock Day & Date, Etc. – Box Office Update

'Five Nights at Freddy's' Movie seeing $7M in Thursday previews on way to potential $68M opening, even with Peacock day-and-date release.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@dittopoop Doesn't this count the $10.3M of Thursday night?

bought Ṁ10,000 of YES

@Vg1131 from desc

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews)

predicted YES

@dittopoop hmm I was a bit aggressive based on this headline. it's not guaranteed yet! 39M, incl Thurs, with heavily frontloaded pre-sales. Has to catch a bit north of 20M on Saturday and Sunday. Likely, but not for sure!

bought Ṁ100 of NO

I haven’t seen a single estimate above $50 million, and it’s going to streaming simultaneously. Not sure what’s justifying the increased probability here.

predicted YES

Polymarket | Five Nights at Freddy's opening weekend

Polymarket | qq

predicted YES

Btw guys this exact market is trading at 93% on Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/event/five-nights-at-freddys-opening-weekend

bought Ṁ55 of NO

If your comp is Detective Pikachu this gets a $54m opening, if it’s Sonic the Hedgehog it gets a $58m opening, if it’s Oppenheimer it gets a $82m opening.