Will any of the 2024 Nobel Laureates be Jewish?
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@MarcusAbramovitch This can be resolved. Gary Ruvkun is Jewish

Six noble prizes, max of 3 people per prize but let's say an average of 2. About 22% of prizewinners are Jewish, so (assuming independence, which is mostly reasonable here) 1-.78^10 =~91.7%.

Do you count economics?

Wish i saw this way before, because my answer is “duh” ;)

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