Will this question close at exactly 13% at the end of 2023?
What will be my p(doom) on December 1? (resolves to %)
This question will resolve at whatever percentage it's at, resolves at any time (PLEASE READ DESCRIPTION)
Banh Mi Chuoi
Will the percent of this bet be above 50 percent?
What percentage of Milky Way stars have >0 planets?
What percentage of planets with life will develop intelligent life (civilisation)?
What % of their deposits will the typical FTX depositor with less than $100k get back? Resolves to %
What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
By 2025, will Paul Christiano have updated his P(AGI doom) to over 50%?
WW3? Ray Dalio, knowitall majordomo of Bridgewater says odds went from 35% to 50%. What say you Manifold? Lower? Higher?
What % of alignment forum karma will be pro-interpetability vs anti this year?
Will you guess the entity in 100 questions? Round 1, 66% truthrate
Will 100 or more people bet on this question?
Will I yield more than a half pound for my first grow?
What percentage of people will believe in god on the next poll by Gallup International?
Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 80%?
Will my P/R rate fall below 60% before 2024?
Will live outcome rates for dogs and cats entering US shelters be 90% or higher in 2025?
Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 70%?
Is Polymarket biased towards a Republican presidency? [50% means no bias]