Will Trump win Pennsylvania in the 2024 Presidential Election?
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Dec 1
49%
chance

This question resolves YES if Donald Trump wins the state of Pennsylvania in the 2024 US presidential election, or resolves NO if he loses the state.


If Trump is no longer a candidate for president for any reason, this question resolves YES if any candidate of the Republican Party wins the presidential election in Pennsylvania, or NO otherwise.

Resolution will be based on the Associated Press and Fox News decision desks. Once both the AP and Fox declare a winner, this question will be resolved 48 hours later if those calls are not retracted.

If the AP/Fox do not both agree on the winner of the state, this market will resolve based on the US Congress' certification of the election in January 2025, resolving YES if a Republican party candidate is certified as the winner or NO otherwise.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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to win PA, he's gotta win at least 20% of Philadelphia County. Bet on that here https://manifold.markets/dlin007/will-donald-trump-win-20-of-votes-i?play=true

New market for Sweeps, since right now only binary markets can be sweeps markets. Existing Market: