Will Trump win North Carolina in the 2024 Presidential Election?
433
10kṀ300k
resolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES

This question resolves YES if Donald Trump wins the state of North Carolina in the 2024 US presidential election, or resolves NO if he loses the state.


If Trump is no longer a candidate for president for any reason, this question resolves YES if any candidate of the Republican Party wins the presidential election in North Carolina, or NO otherwise.

Resolution will be based on the Associated Press and Fox News decision desks. Once both the AP and Fox declare a winner, this question will be resolved 48 hours later if those calls are not retracted.

If the AP/Fox do not both agree on the winner of the state, this market will resolve based on the US Congress' certification of the election in January 2025, resolving YES if a Republican Party candidate is certified as the winner or NO otherwise.

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5mo

@Manifold Called by AP

5mo

Dumb question, but I need to just leave my real money position on this market open and it'll automatically be resolved/closed by Manifold, right? First time I have had a market go to completion with the actual money on here.

bought Ṁ10,000 YES5mo

@dieselbaby1337 yes, you don't have to do anything, and will just get the sweep cash when it resolves

5mo

@StopPunting cheers, thanks

boughtṀ350NO
5mo

@punting thanks to you and @Ethan and others for reducing the price :)

5mo

Your blog is a fantastic resource. Keep up the good work! URL

bought Ṁ350 YES5mo

Will the losing streak continue on large bets for me or will I finally turn my luck around with this one? 🤔

bought Ṁ250 NO5mo

CNN poll has Harris +1. Was even a month ago

5mo

@PaperBoy Even meaning 48-48

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