Will Tim Walz win the VP debate?
38
𝕊455
an hour ago
36%
chance

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS. Join our watch party!

This market will resolve to YES if Tim Walz wins the first VP debate. This market will resolve to NO if JD Vance wins the first VP debate.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the results are tied or if no VP debate occurs before November 4th. A tie would mean both candidates each have 50% (when rounded) of the poll votes.

This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos does not release a poll before October 5th then an average of polls rated 1.9 or higher on 538 will be used.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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CBS said Vance won by 1%

CNN poll just said Vance won by 2%

During future debate prep Tim meets to put a dollar in a jar every time he says "look!".

As an undecided voter, personally felt Vance was better in that one

bought Ṁ100 NO

Walz wasn't bad either

sold Ṁ168 YES

they really ended with “and we’re never doing this shit again.”

bought Ṁ50 YES

I think there’s a good chance it’s 50:50