Will anyone except Biden, Harris, or Trump be a major party nominee?
53
1kṀ18k
resolved Aug 23
Resolved
NO

This market resolves YES if:

  • Anyone except Donald Trump is officially selected as the Republican Party presidential nominee by the end of the Republican National Convention, currently scheduled to occur July 15th - July 18th.

  • Anyone except Joe Biden or Kamala Harris is officially selected as the Democratic Party presidential nominee by the end of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled to occur August 19th - August 22nd

Otherwise, this market resolves NO at the end of the second convention.

Any replacement of a nominee after a convention and before election day would not change the resolution of the market.

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