This market resolves YES if:
Anyone except Donald Trump is officially selected as the Republican Party presidential nominee by the end of the Republican National Convention, currently scheduled to occur July 15th - July 18th.
Anyone except Joe Biden or Kamala Harris is officially selected as the Democratic Party presidential nominee by the end of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled to occur August 19th - August 22nd
Otherwise, this market resolves NO at the end of the second convention.
Any replacement of a nominee after a convention and before election day would not change the resolution of the market.
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@Joshua @ManifoldPolitics looks like this is now NO. the voting is complete, and they issued the official announcement of kamala as nominee. so that makes trump/kamala as the official nominees https://apnews.com/article/harris-democratic-presidential-nomination-eb43b6b346cc644b2d195315cb2bfb20