Will anyone except Biden, Harris, or Trump be a major party nominee?
Standard
53
แน€18k
resolved Aug 23
Resolved
NO

This market resolves YES if:

  • Anyone except Donald Trump is officially selected as the Republican Party presidential nominee by the end of the Republican National Convention, currently scheduled to occur July 15th - July 18th.

  • Anyone except Joe Biden or Kamala Harris is officially selected as the Democratic Party presidential nominee by the end of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled to occur August 19th - August 22nd

Otherwise, this market resolves NO at the end of the second convention.

Any replacement of a nominee after a convention and before election day would not change the resolution of the market.

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แน€1,000
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@Joshua Resolves NO, I think?

bought แน€2,000 NO

@Joshua @ManifoldPolitics looks like this is now NO. the voting is complete, and they issued the official announcement of kamala as nominee. so that makes trump/kamala as the official nominees https://apnews.com/article/harris-democratic-presidential-nomination-eb43b6b346cc644b2d195315cb2bfb20