
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election (by subgroup)?
76
2.9kṀ18kresolved Feb 6
Resolved
YESMen: GOP
Resolved
YESAge 45-64: GOP
Resolved
YESAge 65+: GOP
Resolved
YESWhite women: GOP
Resolved
YESNon-college graduate: GOP
Resolved
YESNon-LGBT: GOP
Resolved
NOWomen: GOP
Resolved
NOAge 18-29: GOP
Resolved
NOAge 30-44: GOP
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NONon-white men: GOP
Resolved
NOCollege graduate: GOP
Each option resolves Yes if the GOP-nominated-candidate wins a plurality (1st place, not necessarily 50%+) of votes in this age group, No if the Dem-nominated-candidate wins a plurality, and the entire market resolves N/A if any group has a non-GOP, non-Dem plurality winner.
Will be resolved based on exit polling: here's an example from CNN in 2020.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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