See market: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-control-the-government-aft
If this account creates a market that is very highly (say, 99%) correlated with multiple answers, or if multiple answers are identical except for close/reference time, only the first answer added will be chosen.
Therefore, please refrain from adding substantially similar answers to those that already exist, but do propose a complete question text including your suggested close date.
As an example, we're looking for user-generated answers but we'll add one to start: "Will abortion before 15 weeks be restricted nationally by 2025?" h/t @Gabrielle
If this account creates a market of the form, "Will abortion before 15 weeks be restricted nationally by 2025 if there is a GOP trifecta?" OR of the form "How 'will abortion before 15 weeks be restricted nationally by 2025' interact with 'Who will control the government?' or similar,
then "Will abortion before 15 weeks be restricted nationally by 2025?" will be resolved YES on this market.
1,000
3.00Control of government vs. key economic indicators is probably rich ground. Deficit ( /jack/will-the-2025-us-federal-deficit-be for example), GDP growth, inflation, unemployment.
By 2025 is too soon, the new president won't be inaugurated before that end date. By 2029 (end of term) makes more sense, or maybe by 2027 (end of congress).
Answer was changed to be "by 2027"