If Josh Shapiro is the Democratic VP nominee, will Kamala Harris win Pennsylvania?

Premium

288

Ṁ140k

resolved Nov 6

100%91%

No Shapiro is not the VP, and No Harris does not win PA

0.0%

Yes Shapiro is the VP, and Yes Harris wins PA

0.0%

Yes Shapiro is the VP, and No Harris does not win PA

No Shapiro is not the VP, and Yes Harris wins PA

0.0%Other

For base rates, see:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

EDIT: OOPS.

Will you resolve this as N/A when the DNC officially nominates Walz as the VP candidate?

There are two options based on “No Shapiro is not the VP”. As Walz is the VP, it will resolve to one of those

Oh oops, I read the title but forgot to check the options!

How could Other possibly resolve Yes?

Shouldn't be an option. Maybe if the election doesn't happen? But that should be included in "Harris doesn't win PA"

bought Ṁ50 YES

nuclear annihilation

It shouldn't, but I think it's good to have to account for unknown unknowns.

PA secedes from the Union

bought Ṁ44 NO

Great market but really hard to bet with these subsidies -- I'm confused why the odds change so much given it's a "Plus" market 🤷‍♂

Hmmm seems the liquidity came in a bit weird. Adding more!

Related questions