If Harris wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?
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2025
82%
chance
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Inflation data gathered from the bureau of labor statistics
The current inflation rate is 3.2% the FED has a goal of 2%. 2.5% is roughly in the middle of these two numbers. If Harris is elected will the FED reach that mark?
Resolves N/A if Harris is not elected.
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I suspect the probability for Trump or Harris in 2025 should be somewhat close since inflation is a somewhat lagging indicator and 2025 is only a years time. I guess any policy differences should be visible by the end of 2025, but then there is the additional question of how long it would take to enact these policy differences.
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