Relationship of @Melissa7025 & @prosthetic
Relationship of @Melissa7025 & @prosthetic
7
600Ṁ1544
Sep 27
8%
First date by Jan 31?
11%
If first date, second date by Mar 1?
20%
If second date, third date by Mar 31?
10%
If third date, continue relationship for six months?

Are Melissa and Tom a good match? Bet on whether they will hit any of these relationship milestones!

Each of the milestones beyond the first date is conditional on the previous milestone. For example, if the first date answer resolves NO, the others will resolve N/A.

See FAQ for more details.

Unranked
Unsubsidized
Manifold.love Relationships
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules