Anthropic releases Claude 3.7+ Sonnet
17
1kṀ11k
resolved May 22
Resolved
May-June 2025
100%99.0%
May-June 2025
0.1%
March-April 2025
0.2%
July-August 2025
0.1%
September-October 2025
0.1%
November-December 2025
0.1%
January-February 2026
0.1%
March-April 2026
0.1%
May-June 2026
0.1%
July 2026 or later (never)

when will Sonnet get an upgrade?

any month with a Sonnet release >3.7 will resolve as yes

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ228
2Ṁ112
3Ṁ100
4Ṁ99
5Ṁ89
Sort by:

@ManifoldAI Resolves "May-June 2025"

I think the big date at the top should show the median and not the mean. "July 14" is clearly not what the market is saying right now

@ManifoldAI do you mean some claude sonnet model with a number bigger than 3.7? like 3.8 counts but 4 counts and so on?

@Bayesian yeah any number strictly greater than 3.7

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy