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MANIFOLD
Anthropic releases Claude 4.0+ Sonnet
34
Ṁ2kṀ27k
resolved Oct 4
Resolved
September-November 2025
100%99.0%
September-November 2025
0.3%
June-August 2025
0.3%
December 2025-February 2026
0.2%
March-May 2026
0.1%
June-August 2026
0.1%
September-December 2026

when will Sonnet 4.0 get an upgrade?

any month with a Sonnet release >4.0 will resolve as yes, such as Claude 4.1 Sonnet or Claude 4.5 Sonnet

Market context
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Anthropic
Claude
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opened a Ṁ3,000 YES at 99.0% order

https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5

@creator this can resolve

@mods please resolve

If you like this market, maybe you should look at: https://manifold.markets/JoshSnider/what-will-be-the-next-model-release

bought Ṁ1,820 YES

err

bought Ṁ430 NO

@ManifoldAI Resolves NO EDIT: Ignore me and my poor reading comprehension.

@JaySocrates Why?

@PhilosophyBear I completely misread this lol. Ignore this.

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