Will 2023's most popular market be a personal market?
41
398
810
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

"Popular" here refers to "most unique traders".

Question courtesy of @ian, who makes the ultimate call about whether the market counts as "personal".


This market is part of Manifold's 2023 Predictions, a group of forecasts about what's in store for Manifold this year. Markets will be resolved by the Manifold core team.

Jan 26, 11:03am: Will the year's most popular market be a personal market? → Will 2023's most popular market be a personal market?

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bought Ṁ1 of NO

WvM is unbeatable with the number of minnows recruited...

@Mira Never say never, all we need is another unique-trader-centric market and another convenient villain to stir an even more furious hate campaign. The people loves to hate! Relevant: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rE3j_RHkqJc

@Mira what odds would you have put here?

isaac can bet on his any market with his 500 accounts to make it popular

bought Ṁ10 of NO

No it will be a meme market

I’m thinking along the lines of: ‘will I find a partner’, ‘will the cat let me pet it’, ‘what intervention will be most useful to my life’, etc.