Will 2023's most popular market be a personal market?
41
810Ṁ9450
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

"Popular" here refers to "most unique traders".

Question courtesy of @ian, who makes the ultimate call about whether the market counts as "personal".


This market is part of Manifold's 2023 Predictions, a group of forecasts about what's in store for Manifold this year. Markets will be resolved by the Manifold core team.

Jan 26, 11:03am: Will the year's most popular market be a personal market? → Will 2023's most popular market be a personal market?

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WvM is unbeatable with the number of minnows recruited...

@Mira Never say never, all we need is another unique-trader-centric market and another convenient villain to stir an even more furious hate campaign. The people loves to hate! Relevant: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rE3j_RHkqJc

@Mira what odds would you have put here?

isaac can bet on his any market with his 500 accounts to make it popular

No it will be a meme market

I’m thinking along the lines of: ‘will I find a partner’, ‘will the cat let me pet it’, ‘what intervention will be most useful to my life’, etc.

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