Will Manifold launch a crypto token before April?
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Resolves true if Manifold Markets (or some affiliated company or organization) releases a crypto token on mainnet by April 1, 2022.
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I did a crypto version of MM as a hobby project. My feeling is you lose a lot because of the waiting period for confirmations vs. the immediacy of a central solution.
If real money or real money proxies are at stake people will rug pull. I like the worthless token but karmic worth of $M on this platform. Once it is an ERC 20 token it will probably float somewhere and be convertible both ways for real dollars.
So I cannot see a crypto move unless I am missing something. But that doesn’t mean a token wont be produced to see where it goes. So I find this market hard to call.
I'm with Em here, please don't. If I wanted to gamble with "real" money, I'd use polymarket. I think this would negatively impact manifold markets reputation, even if it could possibly make a lot of money in the short term.
In addition you could achieve the same with a regular database and without blockchain. Manifold Markets is already centralized.
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