Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
166
10kṀ550k
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
NO

Context: https://x.com/kanyewest/status/1887837266703417817

Criteria: Resolves to 'Yes' if Kanye West is confirmed by credible reports to have launched his own blockchain token before February 28, 2025, 11:59pm (PST).

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No listening to shit YE music for me again, he is the fool!!!

@Manifold Resolve please

Can resolve no @mods

There are already a couple of March markets so I leapfrogged them.

3 days left and we’re at 10%? You guys are nuts. He’s unhinged and has had his potential coin hyped all month for him, it’s marketing 101. Major drop coming Friday, don’t miss out on it like a chump.

It’s going to release Friday on the Epstein list.

Naa, he and the those posts just vanished

This market is going back up to 90 at least one more time before end of day Friday, you better believe it. Get in on the action.

@Predictor I am resigned to taking a loss just so I don't have to kick myself when he DOES do it

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I bought $40 No between 3% and 6%. Figured I may as well get an easy dollar on a sure thing before sweepstakes are totally gone. It has been a difficult dollar

Yes holders can forget about this, we are lucky if we don't get into a crypto winter already u.u

Taking my loss and I'm out. I'll watch the stupidest possible outcome to this from afar. There is too much money on it for there to not be any shenanigans. It'll be the Shkreli thing all over again.

“The YZY token was initially set to go for sale on Yeezy's website on Thursday at 6:00 p.m., but the launch was delayed to Friday, according to a team member who asked not to be identified for fear of associating publicly with the project.”

ie the 27th or 28th

https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2025/02/21/kanye-west-self-proclaimed-nazi-who-said-coins-prey-on-fans-plans-yzy-token

bought Ṁ10 YES

@brod someone might be planning a rug pull in this manifold market. I could imagine someone on this site pulling a mana scam involving YE

@JussiVilleHeiskanen idk why there’s so many conspiracies on these markets

my view 1) kanye is actually planning to launch a coin, main uncertainty is timing and

2) insiders knew about it and bet on the polymarket (with fairly incompetent order execution). initially polymarket whales thought they weren’t insiders - just some combo of dumb, creating hype, or pumping and dumping - and bet against them. but largely sold off once articles like this started coming out with somewhat credible evidence

@brod haha, thought they were taking sucker money, when it was them that was played

@JussiVilleHeiskanen kinda, i think there’s genuine uncertainty on this question but it should definitely be higher than 20%.

a similar thing happened with the polymarket NFL MVP markets (insider pushed josh allen from 5% to 60% then he won, but bet slowly with way smarter execution)

@brod on Kanye's part the fact that he hasn't overhyped it seems to suggest he is doing it on the up and up

His ego is big enough that he might be into thinking he must have one. And he probably has some savvy that he won't be going with a rug pull

I feel I am doing the sunk cost fallacy upon reflection

bought Ṁ242 YES

I feel bad for no holders, your mana is going to go poof. For what? Because you trust Kanye not to launch a token? How do you live with your decisions?

@Predictor betting in this is stupid no matter what unless you are a gambler. There is no insight to be had that can be trusted

@Predictor it's a coinflip, I rather double down a bit to get my avg cost down than flip my position and lose on both sides lol like even if he was serious about the token, why would it be next week? if he was just yesterday throwing out random blockchain names and even suggesting straight to make a L1 PoW (which for sure is not happening in a week)

@Predictor 💤💤💤

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